According to CNN’s data analyst Harry Enten, 66% of Democrats are not in favor of President Joe Biden withdrawing from the 2024 race. Despite this, Enten has pointed out that Biden’s polling figures resemble those of former President George H.W. Bush in 1992, who was unsuccessful in his re-election bid.

Key takeaways from this analysis include:

  • Enten highlights that Biden’s polling numbers aren’t as calamitous as some past candidates who eventually opted out.
  • Nonetheless, he draws a comparison between Biden’s current situation and George H.W. Bush’s unsuccessful re-election campaign in 1992.
  • Contrary to Bush, there are widespread concerns about Biden’s cognitive abilities and his fitness to serve another term.

Breitbart News further elaborates:

On CNN’s “News Central,” Enten stated that more of Biden’s base wanted him to exit the race than Bush’s base did in 1992. He compared this situation with the cases of Harry S. Truman in 1952 and Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968, both of whom dropped out before nominations were finalized.

He further noted that despite winning all primaries in 1992, there were calls for Bush to step aside. This poll was conducted after Bush became the presumptive nominee, with 21% of Republicans suggesting he should withdraw. In contrast, 32% of Democrats currently believe Biden should withdraw. He concluded that these figures are more similar than those from 1952 or 1968.

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It appears that Biden’s situation is more precarious than Bush’s in 1992, as voters raise concerns about his cognitive health and capability to serve another term.